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Independent analysis on European policy, integration, and democratic governance.

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20262025
Commentary

Sanctions for Sale: Rubio’s Athens Doctrine and the Lesson Moscow Learned

On 7 October 2026, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, speaking in Athens with the ancient Acropolis in the background, told Europe that power rests not only on strength but on “the credibility that you are willing to use it”. Two days later, on 9…

Commentary

Hungary’s Migration Fine: Between Political Rhetoric and Legal Responsibility

Speaking on a panel at the 21st Bled Strategic Forum on 31 August 2026, Hungarian Prime Minister Péter Magyar stated, “It’s quite difficult to explain to Hungarians why Hungary is treated so unfairly in Brussels [over migration policy]. We have a court ruling; we have…

Commentary

No second-Class members: What the EU’s Enlargement Plan is Missing

The European Commission has once again made enlargement a priority. Its Communication, entitled Preparing for a wider Union (COM(2026) 705), published on 6 October 2026, outlines the actions the EU should take before new countries become members. In 2023, EU leaders agreed in Granada that…

Commentary

Russia’s Kaliningrad Warning: A Case Study in Cognitive Warfare

On 28 September 2026, the Russian Embassy in Belgium released a highly vigorous statement in which it accused NATO and its member states of worsening the military and political situation surrounding Russia's Kaliningrad Region; it stated that NATO was drawing up scenarios for isolating the…

Commentary

“A Battle of Narratives”, Treated as an Afterthought

Commentary on the 2026 State of the Union Address by President von der Leyen In her State of the Union address on 16 September, Ursula von der Leyen put information warfare on the same level as war and economic competition. She said Europe faces three…

Commentary

Why Europe Cannot Accept Being Sidelined in the Ukraine Peace Process

More than a year ago, in a piece published here, I argued that a peace process which excluded Europe risked producing exactly the kind of settlement Europe would later have to live with, and pay for, alone. That warning about exclusion has only grown more…

Commentary

The Ostrich Policy: Georgia’s International Isolation and Georgian Dream’s Method of Denying Reality

On 8 July 2026, in The Hague, during the 33rd Annual Session of the OSCE Parliamentary Assembly, the Georgian delegation walked out of the session hall in protest when the Assembly adopted the “Hague Declaration,” which also incorporated a resolution initiated by US Congressman Joe…

Commentary

An Election That Extends Beyond Hungary

In this analytical article, Dr George Robakidze examines Hungary's upcoming parliamentary elections, which goes beyond the framework of a single country's internal political contest and represents an important test for shaping Europe's geopolitical future. The author analyses the consolidation of power by Viktor Orbán, the…

Commentary

Why the EU Should Double Down on Georgia if it Wants to Preserve Armenia’s Island of Democracy

In this analytical article, Giorgi Tumasyan examines the geopolitical implications of Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan's address to the European Parliament on 11 March 2026. The article explores the strategic transformation unfolding in the South Caucasus following progress in the Armenia–Azerbaijan peace process, the reopening…

Commentary

Hard Power, Hard Choices: Key Takeaways from Munich 2026

In his analytical article, George Robakidze examines the strategic transformation highlighted at the 2026 Munich Security Conference. The article analyses Europe's growing readiness to assume primary responsibility for its own security through industrial rearmament, large-scale financial mobilisation, and institutional reform. It explores the structural impact…

Commentary

Historic U.S. Engagement in the South Caucasus – strategic partnership with Armenia and Azerbaijan, and missed opportunities for Georgia

A new analytical article by Ambassador Teimuraz Janjalia discusses the significant change in U.S. policy after Vice President J.D. Vance's visit to Armenia and Azerbaijan. It analyses the emerging U.S.-backed peace and connectivity initiatives, including the TRIPP corridor, investment pledges, partnership agreements, and expanded defence…

Commentary

The 2026 U.S. Defence Strategy and Its Implications for Europe

In this article, Ambassador David Dondua analyses the 2026 U.S. National Defence Strategy as a pivotal shift in transatlantic security, marking a move away from U.S.-led protection towards greater European responsibility. It examines how Washington's renewed focus on homeland defence, strategic selectivity, and burden-sharing reshapes…

Commentary

A Fracture in Transatlantic Relations: Trump’s Foreign Policy and EU–US Relations

This article examines the growing strain in EU–US relations under Donald Trump's second term, focusing on Greenland as a revealing test case for transatlantic trust and alliance norms. It highlights the shift toward coercive diplomacy, the weakening of institutional restraints, and the resulting uncertainty for…

Commentary

The U.S. Withdrawal and Its Consequences for Europe and the Eastern Flank

This commentary examines the U.S. withdrawal from 66 international organisations and its wide-ranging implications for Europe and its eastern neighbourhood. It highlights the strategic vacuums created in climate governance, conflict prevention, democracy, and hybrid security, and the challenges these pose for NATO, EU enlargement, and…